Singular Research Maintains Buy on ZAGG

29-JAN-10 – ZAGG Incorporated (ZAGG:BUY) Management lowered Q4:09 revenue and EPS guidance. Long-term growth story remains intact, despite near-term issues. Maintain coverage with BUY rating.

REVISED GUIDANCE

  • TAfter the close on January 26, ZAGG reduced its guidance for 2009.
  • Management reduced its 2009 revenue guidance from $38 million to $37 million.
  • Its lower revenue guidance reflects a delay in the release of ZAGGskins, ZAGGbuds, and other accessories, as well as the change in product and channel mix as a percentage of total sales for Q4:09.
  • ZAGG also lowered its 2009 EPS guidance from $0.22 to $0.15-$0.17.
  • Its lower EPS outlook was due to a higher percentage of sales from its indirect distribution channel. Also, ZAGG expects to incur charges related to inventory and reserves against accounts receivable and notes receivable.
  • We are reducing our estimates accordingly. We now expect revenues to grow 87.9% in 2009, and 40.4% in 2010. Our 2009 EPS estimate is $0.17, and our 2010 EPS estimate is $0.23.
  • This is the second consecutive quarter that ZAGG has disappointed investors, and its stock has dropped 60% since the beginning of November.
  • We recognize the company’s near-term problems, but we think the market has taken the stock to a level that reflects continued problems and limited growth potential. As a result, much of the price risk has been taken out of the stock.

Singular Research aims to be the most trusted supplier of unbiased, performance-based research on small micro cap companies to fund managers. Its goal is to provide initiation reports and quarterly updates for approximately 40 micro to small cap companies. In most cases, Singular’s analysts research companies that are not covered by any other firms.

Analysts do not receive any form of direct compensation from companies under coverage. Analysts are compensated based on the accuracy of their research calls, not through paid for research by companies or potential deal flow.

Our track record since inception, August ‘04, is up 65.70% vs. -8.43% for the Russell 2000 and -17.19% for the S&P 500 through December 2008.

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Disclosure:  LONG ZAGG and I’m an advisor to ZAGG

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6 Comments »

 
  • StockOp says:

    Hey Ian, ZAGG pays for Singular research, do they not? The wording is so tricky on their disclosure that it is like a ZAGG press release! It says that no analyst receives compensation but I bet Singular does. Did you ever add up how much money ZAGG spent on stock promotion(including you pay)? Clearly it is good for a company to tell its story, but when they go so over-board with promotion it is a big red flag.

  • iancassel says:

    No ZAGG didn’t pay Singular or its analysts. I asked them way back when they initiated coverage.

    IC

  • StockOp says:

    I looked into it too. Singular was paid. Not the first nor will it be the last time that ZAGG has lied.

    Call Singular if you doubt me. Just be very careful with the wording as they try to fool people with double talk.

  • iancassel says:

    Well I know that the company didn’t pay for it.

    IC

  • StockOp says:

    They didn’t pay Singular; they paid Millenium. It is a very clever way of saying that they didn’t pay Singular:

    The following disclosures relate to relationships between Singular Research and Millennium Asset Management, LLC (“Millennium”) and companies covered by Singular Research and referred to in research reports. The reports have been prepared by Singular Research, an affiliate of Millennium which is an investment advisor registered in the State of California. Singular Research receives fees from Millennium for the right to use and distribute research reports prepared by Singular Research. Millennium does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Singular Research’s research reports. Millennium may receive fees from issuers that are the subject of research reports prepared by Singular Research for investor and public relations and other marketing-related services provided to such issuers by Millennium. As a result, investors should be aware that each of Singular Research and Millennium may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

  • iancassel says:

    I saw that, but the company didn’t pay them. Doesn’t mean a third party didn’t. Either way, I doubt that many bought the stock because of this report as it wasn’t that great anyway. Investors already know the axe in stock is Merriman. They have been spot on since day 1.

    IC

 

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